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Red66
302316.7
226422.5
252914.3
Blue88
300717.2
254512.2
257428.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402060801001206688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.8
16.217.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
28.21.8
25.026.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3023
#28
16.71.8
15.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
17.23.0
14.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2529
#16
14.31.8
13.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2545
#49
12.23.0
12.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End