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Red58
222514.8
217717.1
284514.0
Blue36
24798.3
302316.7
250215.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060801005836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2177
#32
17.11.3
15.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3023
#28
16.74.1
16.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2225
#19
14.81.4
13.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2502
#29
15.10.0
12.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2845
#30
14.00.1
14.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2479
#21
8.30.0
10.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End