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Red44
282623.2
24798.3
218110.9
Blue42
250913.4
251518.9
308211.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442060804442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
22.222.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
18.90.2
18.017.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2181
#43
10.90.1
11.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2509
#20
13.40.2
12.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2479
#21
8.30.1
11.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3082
#50
11.70.2
13.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End