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Red77
226422.5
249816.9
251518.9
Blue61
250114.2
298715.4
245020.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5745020801007761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.6
21.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2450
#15
20.01.1
19.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.91.7
17.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2987
#36
15.41.1
14.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2498
#13
16.91.6
15.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2501
#42
14.21.0
13.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End