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Qual 102009 St. Louis Regional
Red40
240813.3
117814.0
109420.0
Blue36
221914.2
16589.1
297810.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493602060801004036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#15
20.00.5
17.2→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
2219
#19
14.20.1
15.2→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1178
#24
14.00.6
14.2→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
2978
#31
10.30.1
11.3→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2408
#35
13.30.6
16.1→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.2
1658
#32
9.10.1
11.2→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—