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Red50
300015.9
199616.5
144417.2
Blue42
198518.7
28938.9
181015.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048203040607080905042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1444
#20
17.20.0
17.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1985
#28
18.70.4
17.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1996
#23
16.50.0
18.318.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
15.00.4
16.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3000
#12
15.90.0
14.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2893
#30
8.90.5
14.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End