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Qual 22009 St. Louis Regional
Red32
178516.0
297810.3
117814.0
Blue78
1631.5
132915.4
199616.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455602040801003278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#17
16.01.2
18.8→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.5
16
#1
31.51.7
24.2→25.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1178
#24
14.01.2
15.5→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
1996
#23
16.51.8
16.4→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2978
#31
10.31.1
10.3→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.1
1329
#26
15.42.0
13.9→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—