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Red8
221914.2
182710.7
117814.0
Blue30
128816.7
109819.2
300015.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36520206080100830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2219
#19
14.22.5
14.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1098
#13
19.21.2
19.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1178
#24
14.02.5
12.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1288
#14
16.71.6
15.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1827
#34
10.72.0
11.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
3000
#12
15.91.6
14.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End