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Qual 242009 St. Louis Regional
Red30
96715.7
198518.7
16589.1
Blue56
118221.9
199616.5
170616.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43481020306070803056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#28
18.70.8
17.3→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
1182
#8
21.90.8
15.3→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
967
#22
15.71.1
15.1→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
1706
#16
16.80.8
13.3→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1658
#32
9.11.1
11.4→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.5
1996
#23
16.50.6
18.3→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—