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Qual 392009 St. Louis Regional
Red49
175621.4
283816.6
117814.0
Blue54
198518.7
235916.5
221914.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48431020306070804954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#10
21.40.2
19.3→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
1985
#28
18.70.5
15.8→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2838
#25
16.60.2
14.6→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
2359
#11
16.50.5
15.6→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1178
#24
14.00.2
13.1→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.2
2219
#19
14.20.9
12.1→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—