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Red71
277522.9
175621.4
109420.0
Blue26
290210.2
182710.7
199616.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801007126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.0
20.721.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1996
#23
16.50.7
18.117.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1756
#10
21.41.0
19.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
1827
#34
10.70.7
10.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1094
#15
20.00.7
17.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
2902
#36
10.21.1
12.311.2
Auto
Teleop
End