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Red44
297810.3
199616.5
128816.7
Blue39
240813.3
300015.9
16099.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4337102030506070804439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#14
16.70.1
16.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3000
#12
15.90.1
13.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1996
#23
16.50.1
17.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2408
#35
13.30.1
14.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2978
#31
10.30.1
8.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1609
#33
9.20.1
9.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End