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Red50
300015.9
96715.7
277522.9
Blue58
144417.2
120826.3
297810.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5252304060705058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.1
22.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
26.30.3
26.426.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3000
#12
15.90.1
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1444
#20
17.20.4
16.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
967
#22
15.70.1
15.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
2978
#31
10.30.4
8.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End