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Qual 632009 St. Louis Regional
Red88
118221.9
198518.7
300015.9
Blue64
132915.4
175621.4
204129.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4669204060801008864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1182
#8
21.92.4
19.2→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.1
2041
#5
29.00.1
29.2→29.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1985
#28
18.71.9
16.5→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.7
1756
#10
21.40.1
21.6→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3000
#12
15.92.4
13.6→16.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
1329
#26
15.40.2
15.6→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—