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Red78
150617.5
237732.2
173230.6
Blue52
109816.1
155714.9
61229.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73632040801001207852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.3
31.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
612
#30
29.50.6
29.328.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1732
#38
30.60.3
25.926.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
1098
#87
16.10.6
19.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1506
#64
17.50.3
14.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1557
#83
14.90.7
15.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End