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Red76
102310.4
170130.3
76829.5
Blue79
29227.8
103823.8
113821.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71730501001502002507679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#53
30.30.3
32.432.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
292
#63
27.80.3
26.326.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
768
#70
29.50.3
27.327.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1038
#36
23.80.4
23.523.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1023
#86
10.40.3
11.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
1138
#20
21.70.3
22.522.8
Auto
Teleop
End