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Red60
57817.4
113821.7
289018.8
Blue36
120911.2
299613.4
200417.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801006036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#20
21.70.1
21.521.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2004
#59
17.40.4
17.717.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2890
#69
18.80.1
18.618.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
2996
#84
13.40.3
13.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
#58
17.40.1
17.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1209
#85
11.20.3
11.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End