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Red82
98020.4
171431.8
265923.7
Blue86
10230.6
3328.8
234424.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738540601001201401608286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#11
31.80.4
31.431.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
102
#9
30.60.1
30.530.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2659
#47
23.70.4
23.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
33
#24
28.80.1
28.628.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
980
#56
20.40.4
20.120.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2344
#33
24.10.1
24.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End