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Red72
151717.5
176115.7
15125.4
Blue69
107321.1
50916.3
66314.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5844020801007269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
Unranked
25.41.3
23.224.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1073
Unranked
21.11.9
19.621.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1517
Unranked
17.51.3
17.318.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
509
Unranked
16.31.9
14.316.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1761
Unranked
15.71.3
16.017.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
663
Unranked
14.21.9
12.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End