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Red22
237010.1
31915.8
127714.9
Blue30
16613.9
81112.6
124710.7
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45390102030506070802230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
15.81.8
16.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
166
Unranked
13.90.8
15.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1277
Unranked
14.91.8
16.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
811
Unranked
12.60.8
13.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2370
Unranked
10.11.8
11.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1247
Unranked
10.70.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End