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Red64
15125.4
262120.1
192212.9
Blue68
88516.7
81112.6
17530.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801001201406468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
Unranked
25.42.0
13.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
175
Unranked
30.91.6
21.923.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2621
Unranked
20.12.0
11.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
885
Unranked
16.71.6
12.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1922
Unranked
12.92.0
15.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
811
Unranked
12.61.6
13.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End