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Red58
17530.9
24114.7
17217.3
Blue56
46715.7
57118.9
5821.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63532040801005856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
30.90.3
29.429.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
58
Unranked
21.70.1
20.820.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
172
Unranked
17.30.3
17.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
571
Unranked
18.90.1
17.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
241
Unranked
14.70.3
14.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
467
Unranked
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End