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Red70
4118.2
70818.1
161710.5
Blue69
86919.9
260014.4
180717.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42411020305060707069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
Unranked
18.22.4
16.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
869
Unranked
19.92.3
12.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
708
Unranked
18.12.4
12.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1807
Unranked
17.22.3
15.717.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1617
Unranked
10.52.4
12.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2600
Unranked
14.42.3
13.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End