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Qual 182009 New Jersey Regional
Red54
21917.6
89617.7
81623.2
Blue56
260014.4
121825.8
139115.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425001001505456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
Unranked
23.20.9
18.4→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.6
1218
Unranked
25.80.6
20.7→21.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
896
Unranked
17.70.9
12.9→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.3
1391
Unranked
15.40.6
12.0→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
219
Unranked
17.60.9
12.0→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
2600
Unranked
14.40.6
16.0→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—