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Qual 242009 New Jersey Regional
Red46
260014.4
71417.8
81623.2
Blue49
136721.4
201612.3
6139.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801001201404649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
Unranked
23.20.4
19.3→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
1367
UnrankedSur
21.40.5
17.2→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
714
Unranked
17.80.4
15.3→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
2016
Unranked
12.30.5
11.0→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2600
Unranked
14.40.4
16.6→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
613
Unranked
9.50.5
14.3→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—