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Qual 332009 New Jersey Regional
Red56
30316.7
156315.7
192325.1
Blue45
2532.7
201612.3
4118.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486101001505645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
Unranked
25.10.5
21.0→21.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.6
25
Unranked
32.71.2
30.8→29.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
303
Unranked
16.70.5
15.4→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
41
Unranked
18.21.2
17.3→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1563
Unranked
15.70.5
13.8→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
2016
Unranked
12.31.2
11.5→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—