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Qual 482009 New Jersey Regional
Red46
61222.4
4118.2
165610.5
Blue42
218016.9
136721.4
48417.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4753020801001201401604642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
Unranked
22.40.1
18.9→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
1367
Unranked
21.40.9
19.4→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
41
Unranked
18.20.1
16.1→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
484
Unranked
17.00.9
16.3→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1656
Unranked
10.50.1
12.8→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.4
2180
Unranked
16.90.9
16.7→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—