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Red24
10489.1
48613.7
260712.6
Blue69
22316.0
201612.3
75219.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40391020305060702469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
Unranked
13.71.3
14.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
752
Unranked
19.22.4
15.818.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2607
Unranked
12.61.3
14.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
223
Unranked
16.02.4
14.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1048
Unranked
9.11.3
11.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
2016
Unranked
12.32.4
9.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End