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Red30
218016.9
140313.5
55512.3
Blue54
70818.1
48613.7
30316.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484720304060703054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
Unranked
16.91.4
18.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
708
Unranked
18.10.6
17.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1403
Unranked
13.51.4
14.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
303
Unranked
16.70.6
16.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
555
Unranked
12.31.4
13.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
486
Unranked
13.70.6
13.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End