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Red72
42221.5
86919.9
121825.8
Blue70
192325.1
75219.2
48417.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66582040801001207270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
Unranked
25.80.6
25.726.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1923
Unranked
25.10.9
24.525.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
422
Unranked
21.50.6
19.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
752
Unranked
19.20.9
18.219.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
869
Unranked
19.90.6
20.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
484
Unranked
17.00.9
16.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End