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Qual 242009 Las Vegas Regional
Red68
58521.4
119718.9
101318.2
Blue60
248412.3
33027.1
248516.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565802004006008001,0001,2006860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
#10
21.41.0
20.1→21.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.7
330
#9
27.10.1
26.4→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1197
#15
18.90.8
16.2→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
2485
#43
16.40.1
18.0→18.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1013
#27
18.20.7
19.9→20.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
2484
#31
12.30.2
13.6→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—