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Qual 312009 Las Vegas Regional
Red81
154018.7
233918.2
162232.3
Blue61
298420.3
101318.2
248412.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7454204060801001208161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#3
32.30.5
33.8→34.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.0
2984
#21
20.30.2
22.0→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1540
#14
18.70.6
19.0→19.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
1013
#27
18.20.2
20.5→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2339
#18
18.20.5
18.1→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
2484
#31
12.30.4
13.8→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—