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Qual 372009 Las Vegas Regional
Red54
154018.7
157217.7
172412.4
Blue44
29417.5
205713.0
98815.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493902060805444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#14
18.70.3
19.6→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
294
#37
17.50.2
15.9→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1572
#16
17.70.3
14.7→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
988
#34
15.90.3
11.6→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1724
#38
12.40.5
13.6→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
2057
#24
13.00.3
12.8→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—