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Red8
154814.7
188310.0
163114.5
Blue50
47312.7
6017.8
233918.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4754020406080100120850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1548
#22
14.73.3
16.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2339
#18
18.20.2
18.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1631
#35
14.53.3
20.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
60
#39
17.80.2
19.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1883
#48
10.03.3
11.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
473
#25
12.70.3
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End