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Red70
153823.6
116015.2
101318.2
Blue26
206911.6
98815.9
203414.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5542020801001207026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.1
18.219.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
988
#34
15.91.5
15.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1013
#27
18.21.1
18.819.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2034
#30
14.71.5
15.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1160
#11
15.21.3
16.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2069
#41
11.61.5
12.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End