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Red72
206911.6
162232.3
119718.9
Blue60
154814.7
98732.0
157217.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595830405070807260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.7
32.333.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
987
#4
32.00.1
31.131.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1197
#15
18.90.7
16.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1572
#16
17.70.1
15.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2069
#41
11.61.1
9.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1548
#22
14.70.1
12.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End