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Qual 462009 Las Vegas Regional
Red2
248516.4
172412.4
298420.3
Blue34
47312.7
36210.6
116015.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554002080100234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2984
#21
20.32.6
20.9→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
1160
#11
15.20.4
15.8→15.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2485
#43
16.42.6
18.2→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
473
#25
12.70.6
15.0→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1724
#38
12.44.3
14.1→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
362
#32
10.60.4
10.9→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—