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Red76
162232.3
300916.9
126621.4
Blue26
153823.6
252010.7
172412.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704202060801007626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.5
33.033.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
23.61.0
23.322.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.40.5
18.519.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
1724
#38
12.41.6
9.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3009
#29
16.90.9
14.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
2520
#46
10.71.6
12.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End