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Qual 652009 Las Vegas Regional
Red92
248516.4
126621.4
300624.2
Blue38
163114.5
206116.8
206911.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554402060809238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3006
#5
24.22.8
20.4→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.4
2061
#19
16.80.5
18.1→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1266
#2
21.41.9
19.0→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
1631
#35
14.50.5
15.0→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2485
#43
16.41.9
14.5→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
2069
#41
11.60.5
12.1→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—