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Red60
163114.5
172412.4
254319.2
Blue103
58521.4
97330.6
98019.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41590208010012060103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#12
19.21.1
15.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
973
#8
30.63.6
25.128.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1631
#35
14.51.4
13.214.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
585
#10
21.43.9
14.218.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1724
#38
12.41.4
15.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
980
#17
19.53.6
17.220.8
Auto
Teleop
End