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Red70
205713.0
154814.7
300624.2
Blue36
248412.3
98815.9
300916.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42421020305060707036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.22.3
13.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
3009
#29
16.90.5
14.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1548
#22
14.72.3
15.417.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
988
#34
15.90.5
13.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2057
#24
13.02.3
13.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2484
#31
12.30.5
14.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End