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Red12
123014.6
18627.3
257910.7
Blue0
152010.2
3809.4
268113.6
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43310206080100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1230
#12
14.62.4
14.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2681
#20
13.62.7
10.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2579
#46
10.72.4
15.513.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1520
#63
10.22.7
11.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1862
#49
7.32.4
11.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
380
#55
9.42.7
10.17.4
Auto
Teleop
End