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Red0
64011.6
301713.9
13409.6
Blue30
121115.3
33517.0
160016.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45340206080100120030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3017
#31
13.93.6
14.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
335
#11
17.00.4
12.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
640
#57
11.63.6
13.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1600
#33
16.00.4
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1340
#64
9.63.6
16.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
1211
#19
15.30.4
10.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End