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Red68
121115.3
207011.7
37527.2
Blue24
26314.7
257910.7
257312.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060801006824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
#1
27.22.4
20.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
263
#50
14.70.8
12.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1211
#19
15.32.4
10.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2573
#53
12.10.8
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2070
#42
11.72.4
9.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2579
#46
10.70.8
13.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End