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Red90
260115.8
23724.8
33517.0
Blue74
74319.3
300410.5
35423.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5050203040607080909074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#10
24.83.3
23.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
354
#14
23.02.0
21.823.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
335
#11
17.03.3
13.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
743
#35
19.32.0
18.120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2601
#36
15.83.3
13.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
3004
#62
10.52.0
9.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End