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Red40
35811.0
33410.1
293316.9
Blue46
163512.9
188115.7
80614.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060801004046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2933
#26
16.90.1
15.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1881
#38
15.70.2
15.215.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
358
#56
11.00.1
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
806
#21
14.80.3
13.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
334
#60
10.10.1
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1635
#51
12.90.3
13.814.0
Auto
Teleop
End