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Red40
301713.9
36913.7
268113.6
Blue22
33410.1
33311.4
37115.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42432530354045504022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3017
#31
13.90.2
14.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
371
#16
15.91.7
17.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
#17
13.70.2
14.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
333
#58
11.41.7
13.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2681
#20
13.60.2
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
334
#60
10.11.7
11.810.1
Auto
Teleop
End