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Red64
55516.6
275332.2
37527.2
Blue68
179619.8
5629.1
180723.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77720501001502006468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
32.432.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
56
#4
29.10.1
29.329.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
375
#1
27.20.3
27.527.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
23.20.1
23.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
555
#30
16.60.2
16.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1796
#23
19.80.1
20.019.9
Auto
Teleop
End