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Red62
125031.9
30816.2
26768.4
Blue50
159617.5
233717.1
259121.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51512030406070806250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
Unranked
31.90.6
30.330.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
2591
Unranked
21.10.1
17.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
16.20.6
11.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1596
Unranked
17.50.1
17.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
Unranked
8.40.6
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
2337
Unranked
17.10.1
17.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End