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Red40
160211.0
30224.6
159617.5
Blue34
26768.4
85715.7
4721.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544402060801004034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
24.60.6
23.322.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
47
Unranked
21.60.6
19.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1596
Unranked
17.50.6
17.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
857
Unranked
15.70.6
17.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1602
Unranked
11.00.6
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2676
Unranked
8.40.6
9.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End